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In 2023, despite a promising start to the year, IADS members experienced a significant turning point in the retail market following the summer. This shift was further exacerbated by terrorist attacks in Israel in October 2023, leading to global economic concerns, particularly regarding inflation and growth in 2024. These apprehensions were evident during the IADS General Assembly in November, prompting IADS to invite The Coca-Cola Company to share their insights with IADS CEOs for 2024 and the FMCG (Fast Moving Consumer Goods) market.

The presentation was delivered by Nikos Koumettis, President of the Europe Operating Unit at Coca-Cola, and Rami Sabanegh, Vice President of Strategy at Coca-Cola Europe. Nikos Koumettis began his career in Marketing and Sales, working for Kraft Jacobs Suchard, Elgeka and Papastratos/Phillip Morris, and joined Coca-Cola in 2001 as General Manager for Greece and Cyprus. Since then, he has built a wealth of experience in several international roles. Similarly, Rami Sabanegh has an impressive list of credentials and uses his extensive knowledge of management consulting as a member of Coca-Cola’s European leadership team, where he leads business analysis, strategy, insights and strategic transformation for 40 countries. Together, they shared their expertise on the European customer landscape, macroeconomic factors, sustainability, technological shifts and their company's extensive reach, serving 500 million customers across a wide product range.

Introduction: Europe is a highly diverse and challenging space to operate in

The diversity and unique characteristics of Europe's market make it a difficult and exciting retail space to navigate for companies, including Coca-Cola. The European market, spanning 40 countries, including the 27-nation European Union, presents a diverse landscape with multiple currencies and a population of 600 million residing in 250 million households. This market's allure lies in its blend of developed and emerging economies, extending from Ukraine to Switzerland. However, despite the immense opportunity this presents, there are also challenges faced by retailers in this vast market presented by a few distinct features of European constituents and consumers.

Europe's population is on the verge of decline, even when immigration is considered, it is also a swiftly aging demographic with one in four Europeans aged over 60, and it features an increasing trend towards single or two-person urban households. These shifts hold significant implications for companies, including Coca-Cola, leading to evolved market strategies and the introduction of different types of product lines including zero-sugar and zero-caffeine products.

Such demographic changes should also be considered by department store businesses but are often overlooked by retail marketing departments. The evolving market, such as the ageing European consumer demographic, necessitates adjustments and adapting to the consumers’ needs. An example of such a change is the need to print larger product labels and price tags for ageing customers. As Europe continues to face macroeconomic crises and businesses must learn how to adapt to a ‘business as usual’ volatility, they need to think about how customers will respond and reallocate resources effectively to survive.

If the customer is ever evolving, who is the target audience?

Customers have undergone significant behavioural changes in response to various market forces, displaying both short-term and permanent shifts. In the short term, behaviours include down-trading, where consumers opt for discounters and private labels. The new generation of thrifty shoppers is showing reduced spending on non-essential FMCG products and a focus on finding the best deals. The more permanent changes that are here to stay include more planned purchases, reduced impulse buying, smaller but more frequent shopping trips, and an emphasis on value for money.

Coca-Cola is adapting dynamically to these shifts by developing fresh and healthier products, expanding retail partnerships, and implementing dynamic pricing strategies. Coca-Cola's revenue growth management methods involve offering various pack options at different price points per channel to address customer affordability and preferences toward value. The change in demand can be seen when analysing discrepancies in purchasing between regions and countries. The Classic Coca-Cola product is growing in Eastern countries, while in the West, growth mostly is driven by Coca-Cola Zero or low-calorie equivalents.

Another way Coca-Cola has shown its creative adaptability to a transformed consumer is with the offering of products in new formats such as its smaller 150mL cans to allow customers to still enjoy Classic Coca-Cola, but also control their calorie intake. These changes stress the importance of differentiation in terms of value for money, as middle-market brands face competition from discounters' private labels and premium products.

How macroeconomics push Coca-Cola to adjust its strategy

Europe is experiencing a transformation of trends that are reshaping consumer behaviours and business strategies, which are likely to extend to other markets in the future. These trends include a growing emphasis on health and wellness, with EU customers actively seeking mental and physical well-being. Coca-Cola acknowledges this trend's impact on customers and employees, addressing issues such as mental health support for staff.

Environmental concerns are also on the rise, with European consumers increasingly becoming more eco-conscious, prompting brands to adopt sustainable practices. It is also important to acknowledge that compliance with evolving government regulations is difficult as directives are still being set in place (noting that Brussels's demands for the European Union are stricter and more challenging compared to meeting the United Nations' expectations). Coca-Cola is actively addressing the evolving regulatory sustainability framework in Europe by keeping up with these directives and setting ambitious targets. These targets include giving back more water than they use, which they have already achieved, and focusing on increasing the scale of recyclable packaging use, with a target of 50% by 2030. CO2 emissions remain a challenge, and the company has committed to achieving Net Zero for bottlers by 2040, implying a substantial annual decrease of 8% which is a very ambitious goal.

Implementing digital strategies into marketing efforts

Technological shifts, including increased tech literacy and AI usage among consumers of all ages, are also changing how people consume and interact with brands. The company aims to have a visible presence where customers are investing in digital media and targeting the 18-28 age group to stay relevant and measure the effectiveness of their investments. Achieving relevance with young emerging consumers also includes shifts in Coca-Cola's talent acquisition. The company has an average age of 26-27 with a low turnover rate of 4%, meaning they value the company and tend to stay longer to grow with the company.

Coca-Cola's growing digital investments serve several strategic objectives, other than just appealing to a younger customer and talent base. These digital investments have a dual purpose: one aspect focuses on bringing the brand closer to customers, while the other aims to ensure the availability of appropriate digital platforms for various aspects like e-commerce.

Coca-Cola’s overarching vision is to replicate the brand's offline success in the online world, relying heavily on first-party data to understand customers and tailor offerings to them. Additionally, these investments are driven by the pursuit of measurable ROIs, a feature not readily available through traditional media channels.

Conclusion: An extreme need for adaptability

The insights presented by the Coca-Cola Company shed light on the multifaceted dynamics of the European market and the evolving behaviours of consumers that department stores should consider when developing marketing strategies and business models. The European market's diversity, ageing population, and changing household structures are factors influencing customer preferences, leading to short-term and permanent shifts in buying habits. These changes have been ignored by many marketing departments in favour of more traditional techniques, yet as pointed out by the Coca-Cola company, they are key to remaining relevant and innovative in an ever-changing consumer landscape. Coca-Cola’s insights highlighted the need for retailers in Europe and those operating across differing cities, regions, and countries to adapt to changing demographics, stay up to date on economic conditions, and respond to evolving consumer behaviours. Retailers should focus on offering value for money, addressing wellness and sustainability concerns, and leveraging digital marketing to remain competitive in this consistently dynamic market.

Credits: IADS (Mary Jane Shea)