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The fastest growing major economy in the worldi, India has an unconventional approach to spending. Generally a saving economy, consumer spending around festivals in India is significantly boosted across categories like clothing, jewellery, groceries and confectionery, and luxury goods. The festival season in India refers to an approximately 45-day period starting in September with pre-festival sales and ending with Diwali, occurring usually at the end of October or the start of November. With a population of over a billion people, the consumer expenditure over this festival period is a key economic driver for the country.

Parallelly, the Indian retail industry is a major component of its economy (see our report following the Retailers Association of India presentation during the FIRA meeting in 2023 here). It contributes over 10% of the GDP and accounts for around 8% of employmentii. Combining a substantial middle class with increasing purchasing power and a largely unexplored retail market, India is a new favourite for global retail giants. This is evident with behemoths like IKEA, Decathlon and Sephora to name a few. Luxury brands have also garnered traction in the Indian market with the propensity of consumption for luxury goods in India rising with the expansion of the middle class. The advent of the Unified Payments Interface (UPI) transformed the Indian retail industry. UPI is a real-time digital payment system developed by the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI) and regulated by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). According to a PwC India report, UPI accounted for over 78% of total retail digital payments in India and expects that it will contribute 90% of total retail digital payments by 2026iii.

Experiences driving economic value

In this analysis, a festival refers to a day or period of celebration, typically for religious reasons. While Indian festivals are primarily religious, they are culturally significant and may have linkages across religious and regional communities. While Indian festivals occur throughout the year, festival season refers to a broadly two-month period (September and October, with the possibility of including the start of November) that covers a nine-day festival called Navratri (literally ‘nine nights’, it is known as Dussehra or Pujo in some parts of the country) followed by the five days of Diwali. In some states, this season can start as early as mid-August. The periods before and in between these festivals are also interpreted as festival season due to continuity and commercial activities.

The economic value of festivals in India is underscored by providing an experience that brings together over a billion people. These festivals combine:

• Co-creation: individual or community participation in various events like dances, music and other cultural activities,
• Storytelling: a religious or cultural narrative that surrounds the emergence and importance of the festival,
• Connection: broader community engagement through aesthetics, gifting, and so on,
• Escapism: a break from everyday life and connection with something larger than self,
• Loyalty: faithfulness to the concept ensuring ideological continuity.

![HBR Pine and Gilmore (1999)

Pine and Gilmore’s theory on the experience economy explains this further. Based on the four posited realms of an experience, each Indian festival is a vast enough concept to offer options for all possible combinations envisioned. For example, escapism is achieved at the intersection of active participation and immersion during Navratri by participating in traditional dances in large communal spaces. Each festival also requires its specific kind of decoration developing the aesthetic sense of the experience. During Diwali, the festival of lights and prosperity, places are decorated with various kinds of lights including traditional oil lamps, ‘diya’.

The theory goes on to expand on how experiences can command premium pricing as the most differentiated category of economic goods. While this theory revolves around companies selling experiences, it is applicable to the case of these large Indian festivals. From street hawkers to multinational companies, every seller commoditises festivals to increase sales.

Impact and adaptations

Indian festivals generate enormous primary and secondary economic activity. A significant amount of consumer goods categories such as garments, FMCG, jewellery, liquor, automobile, traditional industries and more make a notable portion of their sales (between 30 and 40% of sales for automobiles and appliances to as high as 50% on groceries and confectionary) during festival season. The country also has a significant informal market which is highly engaged during this time. Despite inflation, consumer spending during the 2024 festive season has remained steady with industries escalating their sales expectations and targets.

The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and National Stock Exchange (NSE) traditionally observe ‘muhurat trading’ which refers to a 60-minute window to trade on Diwali as the festival signifies prosperity and good luck. Various studies have been conducted to research the economic impact of festivals on stock indices with differing results. The broad consensus is that the pre-festival effect is significant due to the large quantities of products bought and sold. One study on the BSE indices over a three-month period shows that they absorb the effects around Diwaliiv.

It is around Diwali that most households purchase high-value items such as appliances, jewellery, smartphones and automobiles given the combination of auspicious timing for consumers and robust promotional offers. Around 30-40% of sales of automobiles occur during the festive seasonv. The appliance industry has also seen around 30% growth driven by e-commerce sales and heightened demand for premiumisation. Jewellery, another paramount sector, saw domestic prices surge by over 15%. However, the All India Gem and Jewellery Domestic Council (GJC) still anticipated a 30% increase in gold jewellery retail sales during the 2024 festive season. Local and international brands found new ways to combine luxury and affordability to engage customers.

International e-commerce platforms and brands in general have adapted their strategies to take advantage of the Indian festive season. For example, Amazon India in 2024 strengthened its workforce with around 110,000 new hires in tier two and three regions to meet festive demandvii. All global brands present in India have promotions and events during this period. This is also a time for new launches and campaigns, collector’s editions of luxury products, and specialised gifting.

The Indian diaspora also provides a notable market for Diwali-related products and events. For example, in the UK, the 2021 census showed that 3.1% (or approximately 1.86 million people) identified as having Indian ethnicity. In recent years, brands have also held Diwali events outside India with high-level diaspora and Indian invitees; Condé Nast Traveller and Cartier hosted a Diwali Ball in London studded with VIPs and artistsviii.

Business case: Amazon India

Amazon India is one of the best examples of an e-commerce brand adapting to the Indian market and its specificities. Amazon India launched the Amazon Great Indian Festival(AGIF) in 2015 which is now its biggest sale event of the year in India. What started off as a five-day sale in October, has surpassed itself year-on-year with a duration of over a month (between September 27 and October 29) in 2024, its best performing year so far.

Amazon India saw a 70% increase in sellers crossing INR 10 million (EUR 112,923) compared to 2023. Over 42,000 sellers experienced their highest-ever single-day sales during this period. The usage of Amazon Pay ICICI Bank credit card surged 50% over last year. One-third of all customers embraced Amazon Pay UPI during AGIF 2024 - a staggering 20% yearly jump, with 80% users from tier two and three cities.

One of the first e-commerce movers to create a special event for festival sales, Amazon India set the standard for both international and Indian brands to adapt to consumers’ growing expectation of intense promotional offers during festivals. Following the Covid-19 pandemic, the company shifted its focus to targeting consumers outside of metropolitan cities, in tier two and three regions. In 2024, over 85% of customers of the AGIF were from non-metro cities. This is a key development as the expansion of India’s middle-class hinges on growth outside major cities. Though Amazon India has significant competitors in the Indian market, international companies can draw inspiration to reach the non-urban Indian consumer that constitutes the bulk of the middle class.

The potential for Galeries Lafayette’s India ventures

Galeries Lafayette announced in 2022 that it would open two locations in India: in New Delhi and Mumbai. It is clear that to establish their salience in the Indian market, the veteran French department store will have to cater to regional differences between the political and commercial capitals while matching up to the advanced e-commerce ecosystem of India.

Festival season will, without a doubt, be a key timeframe. Luxury brands are already taking note of the Indian festival season. From Jimmy Choo’s Diwali capsule collection to Christian Louboutin’s collection entitled ‘The Diwali Edit’, there are an increasing number of brands catering to Indian luxury shoppers. Giving its shoppers a unique experience during festival season could set Galeries Lafayette apart. With differing clientele in Mumbai and New Delhi, this may mean tailored events for each city while ensuring it doesn’t lose customers to FOMO (‘fear of missing out’).

Domestic travel

There is also a rise in domestic travel during festival season. The three main categories are individuals returning to their native places to celebrate with extended family and domestic travel for spiritual reasons as well as for leisure. Post the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a rise in spiritual tourism. In 2024, Agoda, a travel booking platform, reported a notable 10% increase in searches for spiritual destinations during festival season. Across religions, Indians seem to have a higher propensity for pilgrimage and holy destinations.

About three-quarters of urban Indians planned travel during the festive September to December period with similar preferences regarding domestic and international across generations with more than 20% of respondents to the survey citing the festive atmosphere as a reason to travel during this periodix. Shorter vacations and long weekends along with festive promotional deals drive this tendency.

Conclusion

While the concept of festivals is not unique to India, they manifest in a distinctive manner at a colossal scale in the country. Moreover, having not just singular but multiple festivals to create a season subsequently enables economic actors to capitalise on the seasonal peak as a whole. It is tempting to compare the duration from Black Friday to Christmas in the West and Lunar New Year in China and though similar in certain economic aspects such as commercialisation, there is no discernible festival economy in those countries.

India’s expanding middle class, growing preference for premium products, and rising disposable income, combined with the traditional festival economy results in a notable and planned consumer spending spike annually. Innovative brands and platforms are tapping into this by fabricating similar experiences to boost sales. For example, India saw a record number of Black Friday deals which were used by many sellers to get rid of excess stock left over from the festival season.

Festivals in India are vast experiences that generate economic value within its social and cultural fabric. Brands must constantly innovate to fully capture the potential of this unusual period while understanding its cultural underpinnings. These events are also celebrated in different manners across different states, regions and communities. The diversity of India reflects the need to make sure that brand offerings and communication is in line and relevant to its target group. A one-size-fits-all approach has hardly ever provided fruitful results in the massive nation and during a time as important as the festival season, the margin for error can be very low. A final example to illustrate this - during Diwali, it is common in North India and among certain communities to gamble as this is considered an auspicious time. However, in the south and among other communities, gambling is considered an unholy activity during a spiritual time. A wide betting campaign in this case is likely to do more harm than good given its dispersed audience. Understanding micro contexts in India is key and even more so to maximise the opportunity presented by the Indian festival economy.

Credits: IADS (Anchita Ranka)

i] [IMF World Economic Outlook – July 2024

ii] [https://www.ibef.org/industry/retail-india

iii] [https://www.pwc.in/assets/pdfs/consulting/financial-services/fintech/publications/the-indian-payments-handbook-–-2023–2028.pdf

[iv] Chougule, A.R., & Khamborkar, A. (2014). A Study of Seasonality in Stock Market: With Special Reference to Diwali Effect.

[v]<https://www.grantthornton.in/en/insights/thought-leadership/festive-auto-survey-2024-report/>

[vi] <https://retail.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/consumer-durables-and-information-technology/consumer-electronics/festive-sales-buoyed-by-online-sales-premiumisation-appliance-makers-expect-up-to-30-growth/114672455?action=profilecompletion&utmsource=Mailer&utmmedium=newsletter&utmcampaign=etretailnews2024-10-28&dt=2024-10-28&em=YXJhbmthQGlhZHMub3Jn>

[vii] <https://retail.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/e-commerce/e-tailing/amazon-india-strengthens-workforce-to-meet-festive-demand-in-tier-2-3-regions/114455833>

[viii]<https://www.cntraveller.com/article/conde-nast-traveller-diwali-party-2024>

[ix] <https://travel.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/research-and-statistics/research/three-quarter-of-urban-indians-plan-festive-season-travel-domestic-destinations-leads/112884913>